Patronato vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
52.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
IND
2 - 1
PAT
69%
20%
11%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
PAT
1 - 0
CEN
21%
25%
54%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
GOD
3 - 1
PAT
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
PAT
2 - 1
BEL
26%
28%
46%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2016 |
QUI
2 - 2
PAT
58%
25%
18%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
RIV
1 - 1
BAN
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
STR
1 - 1
RIV
37%
25%
38%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -2 |
| 14 Mar. 2016 |
COL
4 - 1
RIV
25%
26%
49%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
RIV
1 - 1
SAO
48%
26%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
RIV
0 - 0
BOC
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |