Patronato vs Atlanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
25%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
GLP
0 - 0
PAT
62%
22%
15%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
PAT
3 - 2
DYJ
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
DES
1 - 0
PAT
30%
28%
42%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
BUC
1 - 0
PAT
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
PAT
0 - 2
SMA
39%
29%
33%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Atlanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
ATL
0 - 0
CEN
30%
28%
41%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
ATT
0 - 0
ATL
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 0
SAM
26%
28%
46%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 1
ALD
38%
28%
35%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2011 |
ATL
0 - 0
ALM
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |