Patronato vs Almirante Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
+3
6.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
22.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
BUC
1 - 0
PAT
52%
27%
21%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
PAT
1 - 0
GBR
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
RAC
3 - 1
PAT
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
GIM
0 - 0
PAT
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
PAT
3 - 1
INS
32%
28%
40%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2012 |
ALM
2 - 1
CEN
30%
30%
41%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
ATT
1 - 0
ALM
55%
27%
19%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2012 |
ALM
1 - 1
ALD
37%
29%
35%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2012 |
HUR
1 - 1
ALM
51%
28%
21%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
ALM
1 - 0
FER
43%
29%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |