Patronato II vs Lanús II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
55.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patronato II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
RIV
2 - 0
PAT
70%
18%
13%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
PAT
0 - 1
COL
29%
26%
46%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
ATL
0 - 1
PAT
59%
22%
19%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2021 |
PAT
2 - 2
DYJ
25%
24%
51%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
ROC
2 - 1
PAT
60%
21%
19%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lanús II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
LAN
2 - 0
EST
35%
25%
40%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
ARG
2 - 1
LAN
53%
24%
23%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
LAN
1 - 0
TAL
53%
22%
25%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2021 |
SLO
0 - 0
LAN
46%
25%
29%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
LAN
0 - 0
BAN
50%
23%
27%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |