Patrocinense vs Tupynambás analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
30%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patrocinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
CAL
0 - 2
PAT
34%
28%
38%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
CRZ
1 - 0
PAT
82%
14%
4%
|
48 | 85 | 37 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
PAT
2 - 1
URT
44%
27%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
CRZ
2 - 0
PAT
83%
13%
4%
|
48 | 85 | 37 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
PAT
1 - 1
CRZ
8%
20%
72%
|
47 | 85 | 38 | +1 |
Matches
Tupynambás
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
TFC
0 - 5
BOA
22%
23%
55%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
TFC
1 - 0
TUP
18%
20%
63%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 5
TFC
54%
21%
25%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 1
TFC
53%
22%
25%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
TFC
0 - 1
GUA
34%
25%
41%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |