Patrocinense vs Tombense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
57.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patrocinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
AMF
2 - 1
PAT
80%
15%
5%
|
47 | 74 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
PAT
4 - 0
NAC
39%
26%
34%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2017 |
BOA
0 - 0
PAT
65%
21%
14%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
PAT
3 - 0
USC
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2017 |
PAT
2 - 2
FCB
35%
26%
40%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
TOM
1 - 0
VIL
67%
21%
12%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2017 |
CSA
1 - 0
TOM
56%
25%
19%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2017 |
TOM
0 - 2
CSA
49%
28%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
MAC
0 - 0
TOM
29%
28%
44%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
TOM
2 - 1
BOT
41%
29%
30%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |