Série D Brazil 1/16
Global 1-1
Patrocinense vs SD Juazeirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
40.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patrocinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
SDJ
1 - 0
PAT
44%
27%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
OPE
1 - 2
PAT
45%
25%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2019 |
PAT
0 - 1
ANA
39%
27%
34%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
PAT
2 - 0
URO
50%
26%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2019 |
URO
3 - 2
PAT
35%
26%
38%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
SD Juazeirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
SDJ
1 - 0
PAT
44%
27%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
SDJ
1 - 0
INT
78%
17%
6%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2019 |
ITA
1 - 1
SDJ
24%
25%
51%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
SDJ
1 - 0
APA
37%
27%
37%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
APA
2 - 1
SDJ
43%
25%
31%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |