Patrocinense vs Ipatinga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
39.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patrocinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
CRZ
3 - 0
PAT
84%
13%
4%
|
55 | 86 | 31 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
PAT
0 - 1
VIL
53%
25%
21%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
UBE
1 - 1
PAT
28%
25%
47%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
PAT
2 - 1
ATM
8%
22%
71%
|
54 | 90 | 36 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
POR
3 - 1
PAT
67%
21%
12%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Ipatinga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 3
IFC
39%
23%
38%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
IFC
1 - 0
POA
43%
24%
33%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2024 |
IFC
1 - 6
AMF
7%
16%
77%
|
52 | 86 | 34 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
ATH
2 - 1
IFC
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ATH
2 - 0
IFC
41%
24%
36%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |