Patrocinense vs Democrata SL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
42%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patrocinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 0
PAT
67%
19%
14%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
IFC
2 - 1
PAT
67%
19%
13%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
PAT
1 - 1
DEM
20%
24%
56%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ATM
2 - 1
PAT
88%
9%
3%
|
40 | 90 | 50 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
PAT
1 - 0
ATH
13%
19%
68%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Democrata SL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CRZ
1 - 1
DEM
84%
12%
4%
|
43 | 78 | 35 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
DEM
1 - 2
ATH
21%
22%
57%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
TOM
2 - 2
DEM
77%
16%
7%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
DEM
2 - 2
IFC
18%
21%
61%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
ATM
3 - 0
DEM
88%
9%
3%
|
43 | 90 | 47 | 0 |