Patrocinense vs Democrata GV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
36.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patrocinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
ATM
2 - 2
PAT
92%
7%
2%
|
48 | 84 | 36 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
PAT
1 - 1
URT
35%
26%
39%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
PAT
2 - 1
TOM
20%
23%
57%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
AMF
2 - 1
PAT
80%
15%
5%
|
47 | 74 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
PAT
4 - 0
NAC
39%
26%
34%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Democrata GV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2018 |
DEM
1 - 2
URT
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
BOA
0 - 1
DEM
71%
19%
10%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
ATM
3 - 0
DEM
89%
9%
2%
|
47 | 84 | 37 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
DEM
1 - 2
CAL
50%
26%
24%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CRZ
2 - 0
DEM
83%
12%
5%
|
48 | 85 | 37 | 0 |