Patrocinense vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
34.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patrocinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 1
PAT
42%
27%
31%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
PAT
2 - 0
DEM
31%
27%
42%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 0
PAT
67%
19%
14%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
IFC
2 - 1
PAT
67%
19%
13%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
PAT
1 - 1
DEM
20%
24%
56%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 1
PAT
42%
27%
31%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
DEM
1 - 0
CAL
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
POA
1 - 1
CAL
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
CAL
0 - 3
CEA
6%
20%
75%
|
43 | 83 | 40 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 2
CRZ
5%
16%
79%
|
43 | 78 | 35 | 0 |