Patrocinense vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
35.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patrocinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
AGU
4 - 1
PAT
38%
26%
37%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
PAT
1 - 3
BOA
31%
30%
40%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
UBE
1 - 1
PAT
58%
24%
18%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
PAT
1 - 1
RVV
23%
28%
49%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
CRZ
4 - 0
PAT
78%
16%
6%
|
48 | 77 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
CAL
3 - 1
UBE
24%
26%
50%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
BOA
1 - 1
CAL
60%
24%
16%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 1
FER
19%
28%
54%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
RIO
1 - 2
CAL
59%
23%
18%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
POA
0 - 0
CAL
53%
23%
24%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |