Série D Brazil Etapas Finales 1/16
Global 2-1
Patrocinense vs Brasil de Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.9%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
43.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patrocinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 0
PAT
54%
27%
19%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
INT
1 - 0
PAT
52%
26%
22%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
PAT
2 - 0
CRA
34%
30%
36%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
PAT
3 - 0
OPE
49%
27%
25%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 1
PAT
62%
23%
15%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 0
PAT
54%
27%
19%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 0
CAC
42%
30%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
IND
1 - 0
BRA
30%
28%
42%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 0
NOV
57%
26%
17%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
BRA
2 - 1
CAX
29%
31%
39%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |