Patrocinense vs Boa EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.4%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
39.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patrocinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
UBE
1 - 1
PAT
58%
24%
18%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
PAT
1 - 1
RVV
23%
28%
49%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
CRZ
4 - 0
PAT
78%
16%
6%
|
46 | 76 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
PAT
0 - 1
URT
43%
27%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
PAT
1 - 1
POA
33%
25%
43%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Boa EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
BOA
1 - 1
CAL
60%
24%
16%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
RVV
2 - 1
BOA
51%
26%
23%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
BOA
4 - 0
AGU
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
BOA
2 - 0
CAL
60%
23%
17%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
ATM
2 - 1
BOA
89%
9%
2%
|
51 | 84 | 33 | 0 |