Patrocinense vs Anapolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
34.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patrocinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2019 |
PAT
2 - 0
URO
50%
26%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2019 |
URO
3 - 2
PAT
35%
26%
38%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
ANA
1 - 1
PAT
52%
25%
23%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
PAT
2 - 1
OPE
41%
27%
32%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
CRZ
5 - 0
PAT
82%
14%
4%
|
47 | 85 | 38 | -1 |
Matches
Anapolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2019 |
OPE
1 - 1
ANA
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
ANA
0 - 1
OPE
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
ANA
1 - 1
PAT
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2019 |
URO
1 - 2
ANA
29%
26%
45%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2019 |
ATL
4 - 1
ANA
80%
14%
6%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | -1 |