Patrocinense vs Águia Negra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
31.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patrocinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
PAT
0 - 1
UBE
20%
24%
56%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
BOA
2 - 0
PAT
67%
20%
13%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 0
PAT
56%
25%
19%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
PAT
0 - 2
FER
17%
27%
56%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
RIO
2 - 1
PAT
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Águia Negra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
AGU
2 - 6
RIO
35%
25%
40%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
RVV
2 - 2
AGU
76%
16%
9%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
AGU
0 - 1
FER
18%
26%
56%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
AGU
0 - 6
CAL
35%
26%
39%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -3 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
UBE
2 - 0
AGU
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |