Patriotas vs Nacional PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
40%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2015%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patriotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
PFC
3 - 0
ACP
26%
22%
53%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 0
PFC
69%
20%
12%
|
24 | 50 | 26 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
RIO
0 - 1
PFC
68%
18%
15%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | +2 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
PFC
2 - 1
APU
25%
22%
54%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
PFC
1 - 0
GEM
18%
19%
63%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | +3 |
Matches
Nacional PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
NPR
0 - 0
RIO
17%
21%
62%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
IGU
1 - 4
NPR
49%
22%
29%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
GEM
0 - 8
NPR
61%
21%
18%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +2 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
NPR
0 - 1
ACP
26%
24%
51%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
APU
1 - 2
NPR
57%
23%
20%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |