Patriotas vs Apucarana Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
53.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1806%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patriotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
PFC
1 - 0
GEM
18%
19%
63%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
IGU
2 - 0
PFC
58%
21%
21%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
FOZ
1 - 1
PFC
69%
17%
14%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
PFC
2 - 0
LEC
29%
22%
49%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
PFC
1 - 2
PST
14%
17%
69%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Apucarana Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
APU
1 - 2
NPR
57%
23%
20%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
APU
2 - 0
GEM
25%
25%
50%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
PAR
3 - 0
APU
74%
18%
9%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
IGU
1 - 2
APU
43%
23%
34%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
LEC
2 - 0
APU
18%
20%
62%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | -2 |