Patriotas vs AC Paranavaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
52.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2015%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patriotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 0
PFC
69%
20%
12%
|
24 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
RIO
0 - 1
PFC
68%
18%
15%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | +2 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
PFC
2 - 1
APU
25%
22%
54%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
PFC
1 - 0
GEM
18%
19%
63%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | +3 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
IGU
2 - 0
PFC
58%
21%
21%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
AC Paranavaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
ACP
2 - 1
GEM
57%
22%
22%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
APU
0 - 1
ACP
32%
26%
41%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
NPR
0 - 1
ACP
26%
24%
51%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
ACP
2 - 0
FOZ
40%
24%
35%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LEC
0 - 0
ACP
24%
21%
56%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |