Patriotas Boyacá vs Real Santander analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
33.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patriotas Boyacá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
AFC
0 - 0
PAT
25%
28%
47%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
CEN
2 - 1
PAT
49%
26%
26%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
PAT
1 - 2
TFC
57%
25%
19%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 0
PAT
16%
26%
58%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
UNI
4 - 0
PAT
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
REA
2 - 2
RIO
40%
27%
34%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
BOG
0 - 0
REA
32%
26%
42%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
AFC
2 - 3
REA
17%
23%
60%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
REA
2 - 0
PAC
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
ALI
2 - 1
REA
25%
26%
49%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |