Patriotas Boyacá vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
48.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patriotas Boyacá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 1
PAT
61%
24%
16%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
PAT
1 - 0
AGU
27%
28%
44%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CAL
3 - 0
PAT
70%
20%
10%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2012 |
PAT
1 - 1
CAR
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2012 |
ONC
1 - 1
PAT
75%
17%
8%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
MIL
2 - 0
ENV
60%
23%
18%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
GRE
1 - 0
MIL
64%
21%
16%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
PAS
3 - 1
MIL
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
TOL
0 - 0
MIL
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
MIL
3 - 0
PAL
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |