Patriotas Boyacá vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
46.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patriotas Boyacá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 0
PAT
28%
28%
44%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
HUI
0 - 0
PAT
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
PAT
0 - 0
EQU
49%
27%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
COR
2 - 1
PAT
38%
29%
32%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
PAT
2 - 1
ENV
45%
29%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
IND
1 - 1
ENV
58%
25%
18%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
IND
1 - 1
CAL
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
HUI
0 - 3
IND
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
EQU
2 - 2
IND
19%
27%
54%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
IND
2 - 0
COR
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |