Patriotas Boyacá vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
19.8%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
39.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patriotas Boyacá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
PAT
2 - 1
CHI
30%
27%
43%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 0
PAT
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 2
PAT
39%
29%
32%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
PAT
1 - 0
AGU
26%
28%
46%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
JUN
1 - 0
PAT
73%
18%
9%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
IND
0 - 2
NAC
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
IND
3 - 3
FOR
66%
22%
12%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
AGU
1 - 1
IND
51%
26%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
IND
2 - 2
JUN
36%
28%
36%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
HUI
1 - 1
IND
34%
27%
38%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |