Patriotas Boyacá vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
18.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patriotas Boyacá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2016 |
TOL
1 - 0
PAT
59%
24%
17%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
PAT
3 - 2
JUN
39%
28%
33%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
PAT
0 - 1
AGU
51%
26%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
JAG
2 - 3
PAT
31%
30%
39%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
PAT
1 - 1
ALI
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 1
IND
22%
26%
52%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
HUI
2 - 1
FOR
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 1
EQU
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
COR
2 - 2
FOR
54%
25%
20%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 2
ENV
28%
29%
44%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |