Patriotas Boyacá vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
54.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patriotas Boyacá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
MIL
4 - 0
PAT
73%
18%
10%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
PAT
3 - 3
ALI
41%
28%
32%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
CAL
2 - 1
PAT
68%
21%
11%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
PAT
1 - 0
IND
32%
29%
39%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
PAT
2 - 1
CHI
30%
27%
43%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2014 |
TOL
1 - 1
FOR
76%
17%
7%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
AGU
1 - 0
TOL
38%
27%
36%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2014 |
TOL
3 - 1
JUN
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
HUI
2 - 0
TOL
23%
25%
52%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
TOL
0 - 0
SFE
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |