Patriotas Boyacá vs Centauros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patriotas Boyacá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 0
PAT
22%
27%
51%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 1
PAT
62%
22%
17%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
PAT
2 - 2
PAS
38%
28%
34%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
BUC
2 - 2
PAT
36%
28%
36%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
PAT
1 - 1
CHI
34%
25%
41%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Centauros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
CEN
3 - 1
AFC
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
REA
5 - 0
CEN
52%
26%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
CEN
1 - 0
BAR
66%
21%
13%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2011 |
COR
0 - 0
CEN
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 1
CEN
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |