Patriotas Boyacá vs Bogotá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
13.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patriotas Boyacá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
UNI
4 - 0
PAT
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
HUI
1 - 1
PAT
38%
28%
34%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2019 |
PAT
3 - 1
EQU
37%
30%
33%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
BOG
0 - 3
PAT
18%
22%
60%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
EQU
2 - 2
PAT
48%
28%
24%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
UNI
0 - 0
BOG
49%
26%
25%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
BOG
1 - 0
CAR
29%
27%
44%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
LEO
1 - 0
BOG
47%
28%
26%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
BOG
0 - 3
PAT
18%
22%
60%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
BOG
3 - 2
COR
27%
26%
47%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |