Copa Colombia Last 16
Global 1-5
Patriotas Boyacá vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
60.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patriotas Boyacá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
PAT
0 - 0
PAS
28%
29%
44%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
NAC
3 - 0
PAT
77%
15%
8%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
AME
0 - 0
PAT
64%
23%
13%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
PAT
0 - 3
NAC
16%
25%
59%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
AGU
1 - 0
PAT
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 0
AGU
70%
18%
11%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
NAC
3 - 0
PAT
77%
15%
8%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 0
QUI
76%
16%
8%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
PAT
0 - 3
NAC
16%
25%
59%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 0
CAL
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |