Patriotas Boyacá vs Atlético Bucaramanga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patriotas Boyacá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2012 |
MIL
0 - 1
PAT
71%
19%
10%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
CUC
1 - 0
PAT
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
PAT
0 - 0
CHI
30%
26%
44%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
AGU
1 - 1
PAT
69%
20%
11%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2012 |
ALI
3 - 2
PAT
27%
27%
47%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Bucaramanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
COR
2 - 0
BUC
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
BUC
1 - 0
REA
38%
24%
38%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
BUC
0 - 0
TFC
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
BUC
0 - 2
UNI
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 0
BUC
73%
18%
9%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | -1 |