Patriotas Boyacá vs Atlético Bucaramanga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patriotas Boyacá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
PAT
2 - 1
BAR
74%
17%
8%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
BUC
0 - 1
PAT
49%
24%
28%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 1
PAT
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
PAT
1 - 0
BOG
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
PAC
1 - 0
PAT
38%
28%
34%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Bucaramanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
BUC
2 - 1
RIO
42%
25%
33%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
BUC
0 - 1
PAT
49%
24%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
BOG
1 - 0
BUC
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
BUC
1 - 0
PAC
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
BUC
3 - 1
RSC
65%
21%
15%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |