Patriotas Boyacá vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patriotas Boyacá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2012 |
QUI
1 - 1
PAT
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
REA
2 - 0
PAT
41%
27%
33%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
PAT
2 - 1
IND
29%
28%
43%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
CUC
0 - 1
PAT
56%
26%
19%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
PAT
0 - 3
TOL
19%
24%
57%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
ALI
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 1
BUC
36%
26%
38%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 1
UNI
27%
27%
46%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
PER
4 - 0
ALI
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ALI
0 - 0
ACA
29%
27%
44%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |