Patriotas Boyacá vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patriotas Boyacá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
PAS
3 - 0
PAT
52%
27%
21%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
PAT
1 - 0
BUC
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
PAT
2 - 1
BAR
74%
17%
8%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
BUC
0 - 1
PAT
49%
24%
28%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 1
PAT
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ACA
0 - 0
ALI
65%
21%
14%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
ALI
0 - 1
COR
29%
27%
45%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 1
ALI
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
ALI
1 - 1
CUC
22%
27%
51%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
ALI
1 - 1
UNI
34%
29%
37%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |