Patriotas Boyacá vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
6.9%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patriotas Boyacá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
PAT
1 - 2
PAS
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2010 |
BOG
1 - 1
PAT
44%
25%
31%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
BUC
2 - 3
PAT
49%
24%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
PAT
1 - 0
BUC
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2010 |
PAT
2 - 3
BOG
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
RIO
3 - 1
ALI
75%
17%
8%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
ALI
0 - 1
UNI
35%
28%
37%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2010 |
SAB
2 - 2
ALI
59%
24%
18%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
ALI
1 - 2
REA
33%
26%
41%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
FOR
4 - 1
ALI
59%
23%
19%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |