Patria C.F vs Real Betis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
62.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patria C.F
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1927 |
CDP
4 - 6
ATM
14%
21%
65%
|
9 | 82 | 73 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1927 |
BET
6 - 0
CDP
86%
9%
5%
|
9 | 76 | 67 | 0 |
Matches
Real Betis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1927 |
ATM
1 - 1
BET
66%
18%
16%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1927 |
BET
6 - 0
CDP
86%
9%
5%
|
76 | 9 | 67 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1926 |
ATM
4 - 2
BET
65%
19%
17%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1926 |
BET
3 - 2
ATM
45%
23%
31%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1926 |
CAR
0 - 3
BET
21%
24%
55%
|
76 | 47 | 29 | +1 |