Paternò vs Vis Pesaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
34.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paternò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
MAR
3 - 3
PAT
67%
19%
14%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
BEN
1 - 0
PAT
52%
25%
23%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
PAT
0 - 0
FCC
35%
29%
36%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
ACI
1 - 1
PAT
64%
22%
15%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
PAT
1 - 2
CHI
44%
27%
30%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Vis Pesaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
VIS
2 - 1
CRO
37%
29%
34%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
USF
1 - 0
VIS
72%
19%
9%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
VIS
0 - 3
ACI
32%
29%
40%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
BEN
1 - 1
VIS
43%
30%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
VIS
3 - 1
TER
29%
27%
44%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |