Paternò vs Vis Pesaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
31.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paternò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
SOR
2 - 1
PAT
42%
26%
32%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
PAT
0 - 2
VIR
35%
26%
40%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
PAT
1 - 2
TAR
34%
27%
39%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
TER
2 - 2
PAT
66%
20%
15%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
PAT
1 - 0
AVE
30%
27%
43%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Vis Pesaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
VIS
1 - 1
SSS
30%
29%
41%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
VIT
2 - 0
VIS
46%
26%
28%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
VIS
0 - 3
AVE
33%
28%
39%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
VIS
1 - 2
SOR
57%
24%
20%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
GIU
0 - 1
VIS
48%
27%
25%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |