Paternò vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
43%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paternò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
SAS
0 - 1
PAT
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
PAT
2 - 1
CRO
28%
27%
46%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
GIU
2 - 1
PAT
62%
21%
17%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
BEN
0 - 0
PAT
53%
25%
23%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
PAT
1 - 0
LAQ
45%
26%
30%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
AVE
2 - 1
FER
58%
24%
17%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
AVE
1 - 0
CHI
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
SAS
0 - 0
AVE
34%
27%
39%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
AVE
1 - 0
VIT
58%
24%
18%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
VIR
1 - 0
AVE
38%
27%
36%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |