Paternò vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
45.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paternò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
USF
6 - 1
PAT
70%
19%
11%
|
38 | 64 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
PAT
0 - 1
VIR
25%
26%
49%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
VIT
2 - 0
PAT
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
PAT
0 - 2
VIS
39%
27%
34%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
MAR
3 - 3
PAT
67%
19%
14%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
FCC
0 - 0
TAR
56%
25%
19%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
TAR
1 - 2
FER
57%
25%
18%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
USF
2 - 1
TAR
68%
21%
12%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
TAR
1 - 0
VIT
41%
28%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
SOR
0 - 0
TAR
27%
27%
46%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |