Paternò vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.1%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
43.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paternò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2003 |
FER
0 - 2
PAT
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
PAT
1 - 1
CHI
37%
27%
36%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
PES
1 - 0
PAT
71%
18%
11%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
PAT
1 - 2
MAR
27%
26%
47%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
VIT
2 - 1
PAT
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2003 |
SSS
2 - 0
LAQ
58%
25%
17%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
VIR
1 - 1
SSS
33%
28%
39%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
SSS
1 - 0
GIU
56%
26%
18%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
FER
1 - 2
SSS
34%
30%
36%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
AVE
1 - 0
SSS
46%
28%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |