Paternò vs Sora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
24.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paternò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
VIR
0 - 2
PAT
73%
17%
11%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
TAR
1 - 1
PAT
60%
23%
17%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
PAT
0 - 0
TER
29%
25%
46%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2002 |
LAQ
2 - 1
PAT
62%
21%
17%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
AVE
5 - 0
PAT
62%
22%
16%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Sora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2002 |
SOR
0 - 1
AVE
24%
26%
50%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
BEN
1 - 0
SOR
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
SOR
3 - 2
VIS
32%
28%
40%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2002 |
TER
3 - 3
SOR
71%
18%
12%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
TAR
4 - 0
SOR
61%
23%
16%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | -1 |