Paternò vs Rende analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
16.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paternò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 1
PAT
27%
23%
50%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
CIT
0 - 5
PAT
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
PAT
1 - 1
TRA
14%
22%
65%
|
35 | 59 | 24 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
ACI
1 - 1
PAT
62%
22%
16%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
PAT
1 - 0
CAV
25%
24%
51%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Rende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
REN
0 - 1
CAV
18%
22%
60%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
LUC
2 - 0
REN
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
REN
1 - 1
LAT
20%
21%
59%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
REN
1 - 2
GEL
21%
28%
51%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
RAA
0 - 1
REN
34%
26%
41%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |