Paternò vs Pescara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
45.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paternò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
MAR
3 - 1
PAT
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
PAT
0 - 0
VIT
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
VIS
2 - 1
PAT
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
PAT
1 - 0
SOR
52%
24%
25%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
VIR
0 - 2
PAT
73%
17%
11%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Pescara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
PES
1 - 0
TAR
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
PES
1 - 2
SAS
67%
20%
14%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
AVE
1 - 0
PES
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
PES
2 - 0
VIR
69%
19%
13%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
CHI
1 - 1
PES
29%
27%
44%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |