Paternò vs Nissa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
31.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+75%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
4º
9º
8º
31
6º
14º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 77 |
1º
|
55.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 75 |
2º
|
48.5% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 66 |
3º
|
46% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 63 |
4º
|
44.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 62 |
5º
|
52% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 51 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 46 |
7º
|
29% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 42 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 41 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 40 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 38 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 37 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 37 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 36 |
14º
|
11% | |
|
17º
|
17 | 34 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 33 |
16º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 31 |
17º
|
28% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 26 |
18º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 5% |
|
Mid-table
|
90.5% | 94.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
9.5% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paternò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
POM
0 - 1
PAT
13%
18%
70%
|
36 | 8 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
LUC
2 - 0
PAT
41%
26%
34%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 0
PAT
51%
26%
23%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
PAT
0 - 1
ACI
33%
29%
39%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
LAT
2 - 0
PAT
54%
24%
22%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Nissa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
NIS
1 - 1
USV
24%
24%
52%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
MES
8 - 1
NIS
86%
11%
3%
|
15 | 46 | 31 | +17 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
NIS
1 - 4
LIC
12%
18%
70%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
CAV
3 - 0
NIS
83%
13%
4%
|
16 | 44 | 28 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
NIS
0 - 4
ASD
17%
25%
58%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | -1 |