Paternò vs Martina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
47.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paternò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
VIT
2 - 1
PAT
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
PAT
0 - 2
VIS
42%
27%
31%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
SOR
2 - 1
PAT
42%
26%
32%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
PAT
0 - 2
VIR
35%
26%
40%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
PAT
1 - 2
TAR
34%
27%
39%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Martina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
MAR
5 - 2
FER
60%
23%
18%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
BEN
2 - 2
MAR
30%
28%
43%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
MAR
1 - 1
AVE
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
TER
3 - 2
MAR
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
MAR
1 - 1
SSS
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |