Paternò vs Licata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
26.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
10º
17º
16º
52
4º
18º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
88 | 88 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 38 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
|
16º
|
37 | 37 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paternò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
LUC
1 - 1
PAT
33%
24%
44%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
PAT
0 - 2
RAG
70%
17%
13%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
PAT
2 - 1
SMC
45%
23%
31%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
RAA
3 - 1
PAT
43%
25%
32%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 5
PAT
30%
24%
47%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Licata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
LIC
1 - 1
LOC
63%
19%
18%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 0
LIC
42%
23%
35%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
LIC
1 - 2
CAT
10%
20%
70%
|
32 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
USV
2 - 1
LIC
55%
23%
22%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
LIC
0 - 1
USC
52%
23%
25%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |