Paternò vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
39.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paternò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
GIU
2 - 0
PAT
58%
22%
19%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
PAT
1 - 4
SSS
24%
27%
49%
|
36 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
SOR
2 - 1
PAT
46%
26%
28%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
PAT
1 - 2
TAR
28%
27%
45%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
USF
6 - 1
PAT
70%
19%
11%
|
38 | 64 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
FER
2 - 2
MAR
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
CHI
0 - 0
FER
53%
25%
23%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
FER
1 - 2
ACI
30%
28%
42%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
VIS
2 - 1
FER
46%
28%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
FER
1 - 1
CRO
38%
28%
34%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |