Paternò vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
45.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paternò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
GIU
2 - 1
PAT
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
BEN
0 - 0
PAT
53%
25%
23%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
PAT
1 - 0
LAQ
45%
26%
30%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
SSS
3 - 1
PAT
56%
25%
19%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
PAT
0 - 1
FER
32%
26%
43%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
CRO
1 - 2
LAQ
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2003 |
CRO
2 - 0
TER
59%
21%
20%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
MAR
1 - 0
CRO
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
CRO
1 - 0
FER
67%
20%
14%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
AVE
2 - 2
CRO
47%
27%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |