Paternò vs Sancataldese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
22.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paternò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
PAT
2 - 2
GIA
58%
20%
22%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
PAT
2 - 3
CIT
28%
27%
45%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
GEL
2 - 0
PAT
56%
25%
19%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
ROT
1 - 0
PAT
42%
24%
34%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
PAT
2 - 1
CCI
65%
19%
16%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sancataldese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
SAN
3 - 1
ASD
50%
25%
25%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 3
ROC
51%
25%
25%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
SAN
4 - 0
FCI
69%
19%
13%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
MES
1 - 2
SAN
69%
18%
13%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
ROT
2 - 2
SAN
47%
22%
31%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |