Paternò vs Locri 1909 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
41.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
4º
15º
15º
6
2º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
6 | 75 |
1º
|
56.5% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 72 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 61 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 57 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 55 |
5º
|
9.5% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 51 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
6 | 51 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 51 |
8º
|
3.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 50 |
9º
|
7% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 47 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 46 |
11º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 44 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 43 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 40 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
|
7º
|
5 | 38 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 27 |
16º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 25 |
17º
|
30% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 19 |
18º
|
52% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2.5% | 23% |
|
Mid-table
|
37% | 59% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
52.5% | 16.5% |
|
Relegation
|
8% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paternò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
PAT
49%
26%
25%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
PAT
0 - 0
NIS
45%
23%
32%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
POM
0 - 1
PAT
13%
18%
70%
|
35 | 7 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
LUC
2 - 0
PAT
41%
26%
34%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 0
PAT
51%
26%
23%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Locri 1909
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LOC
0 - 1
USV
21%
24%
55%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
LIC
1 - 2
LOC
48%
25%
28%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
LOC
2 - 0
AKR
37%
24%
38%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
LOC
1 - 3
FCC
5%
13%
82%
|
34 | 78 | 44 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
LUC
0 - 2
LOC
42%
25%
33%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +2 |