Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-5
Paterna CF vs Sevilla At. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
47.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paterna CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
CRE
3 - 0
PAT
71%
16%
13%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
PAT
1 - 0
JOV
29%
23%
48%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
SEV
2 - 2
PAT
85%
11%
5%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
ACE
1 - 0
PAT
89%
8%
4%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
PAT
2 - 1
GAN
22%
22%
56%
|
17 | 39 | 22 | +3 |
Matches
Sevilla At.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1977 |
FCB
6 - 2
SEV
83%
13%
4%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
SEV
1 - 1
LIN
49%
29%
21%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
SEV
2 - 2
PAT
85%
11%
5%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 1977 |
AGD
3 - 0
SEV
77%
17%
6%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
SEV
0 - 0
ONT
53%
29%
18%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |